Determinants of Survival Time of Government Securities Held by Banks in Uganda

Authors

  • kenneth Alpha Egesa bank of uganda
  • Bruno Max Ocaya makerere university
  • Leonard Kiboijana Atuhaire makerere university
  • Yeko Mwanga makerere university
  • Tom Nyanzi Makumbi makerere university
  • Xavier Mugisha makerere university

Keywords:

commercial banks, survival analysis, duration of government securities

Abstract

This study used survival analysis to establish the determinants of the hazard for bank liquidation of government securities in order to identify possible measures to limit the occurrence of liquidation. The findings showed that increases in capital lead to declines in the rediscounting hazard and increases in the liquidation hazard of using securities as collateral for borrowing from the Central Bank.

Author Biographies

kenneth Alpha Egesa, bank of uganda

Director Statistics Department

Bruno Max Ocaya, makerere university

associate proffessor department of statistics and actuarial sciences

Leonard Kiboijana Atuhaire, makerere university

associate proffessor department of statistics and actuarial sciences

Yeko Mwanga, makerere university

senior lecturer department of statistics and actuarial sciences

Tom Nyanzi Makumbi, makerere university

senior lecturer department of statistics and actuarial sciences

Xavier Mugisha, makerere university

retired senior lecturer department of statistics and actuarial sciences

References

S. Peristiani, "The growing reluctance to borrow at the discount window: An empirical investigation," Review of Economics and Statistics, pp. 611-620, 1998.

N. M. Kiefer, "Economic duration data and hazard functions," Journal of Economic Literature, pp. 646-679, 1988.

Y. Deng, "Mortgage termination: An empirical hazard model with a stochastic term structure," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, pp. 309-331, 1997.

Y. Deng, J. M. Quigley and R. Van Order, "Mortgage termination, heterogeneity, and the exercise of mortgage options," UC Berkeley, Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy, 1999.

K. D. Vandell, "How ruthless is mortgage default: A review and synthesis of the evidence," Journal of Housing Research, pp. 245-264, 1995.

J. P. Feng and M. S. Seasholes, "Do investor sophistication and trading experience eliminate behavioural biases in financial markets?," Review of Finance, pp. 305-351, 2005.

A. D. Crane and J. C. Hartzell, Is there a disposition efect in corporate investment decisions: Evidence from real estate investment trusts, University of Texas, 2008.

S. Ongena and D. C. Smith, "The duration of bank relationships," Journal of Financial Economics, pp. 449-475, 2001.

M. Affinito, "Do interbank customer relatinships exist and how did they function in the crisis learning from Italy," Journal of Banking and Finance, pp. 3163-3184, 2012.

S. J. Brown, W. N. Goetzmann and J. Park, "Careers and Survival: Comeptition and risk in the hedge fund and CTA industry," The Journal of Finance, pp. 1869-1886, 2001.

M. Getmansky, A. Lo and S. Mei, "Sifting through the wreckage: Lessons from recent hedge-fund liquidations," Journal of Investment Management, pp. 6-38, 2004.

N. Baba and H. Goko, "Survival analysis of hedge funds," Institute for Monetary Studies and Financial Markets Department , p. 6, 2006.

T. Endo, "Developing efficient market infrastructure and secondary market of government bonds in developing countries," in 5th Regional Workshop on Developing Government Bonds, Johannesburg, 2003.

T. Adrain, C. R. Burke and J. McAndrews, "The Federal Reserve's primary dealer credit facility," Current Issues in Economics and Finance, vol. 15, no. 4, 2009.

L. Goldberg, B. G. Dages and D. Kinney, "Foreign and domestic bank participation in emerging markets: Lessons from Mexico and Argentina," National Bureau of Economic Research, 2000.

M. S. Martinez-Peria and S. L. Schmukler, "Do depositors punish banks for bad behaviour? Market discipline, deposit insurance, and banking crises," The Journal of Finance, pp. 1029-1051, 2001.

J. Crystal, B. Dages and L. Goldberg, "Does foreign ownership contribute to sounder banks in emerging markets: The latin American experience," FRB of New York Staff Report, p. 137, 2001.

D. R. Cox, "Regression models and life-tables," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, pp. 187-220, 1972.

J. P. Fine and J. and Gray. R, "A proportional hazards model for the distribution of a competing risk," Journal of American Statistical Association, pp. 496-509, 1999.

p. M. Grambsch and T. M. Therneau, "Proportional hazards tests and diagonostics based on weighted residuals," Biometrica, pp. 515-526, 1994.

M. S. Goldfield and J. E. Kane, "The determinants of member-bank borrowing: An econometric study," The Journal of Finance, p. Vol. 21, 1966.

L. Allen, S. Peristiani and A. Saunders, "Bank size, collateral and net purchase behaviour in the Federal funds market: Empirical evidence," Journal of Business, pp. 501-515, 1989.

Downloads

Published

2015-05-24

How to Cite

Egesa, kenneth A., Ocaya, B. M., Atuhaire, L. K., Mwanga, Y., Makumbi, T. N., & Mugisha, X. (2015). Determinants of Survival Time of Government Securities Held by Banks in Uganda. International Journal of Sciences: Basic and Applied Research (IJSBAR), 22(2), 341–362. Retrieved from https://www.gssrr.org/index.php/JournalOfBasicAndApplied/article/view/3989

Issue

Section

Articles